GuriavsMerani Tbilisi

Guria are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 4.20 conceded, while Merani Tbilisi are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Guria hold a 25.9-point power-rating edge (75.8 v 49.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.5% in the Liga 3, while Guria holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.