GGOALVIO

Georgia · Liga 3 · 8/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guria · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Guria are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lokomotivi Tbilisi are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and guria hold a 28.7-point power-rating edge (73.6 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely result in the Liga 3, favouring Guria with 17.3% confidence, a 33% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guria

Probability

81.3%

Model confidence

17.3%

Guria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GuriaWWWWL

GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Lokomotivi TbilisiDWWWD

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
GuriaLokomotivi Tbilisi
87.5Attack31.3
77.1Defence56.3
68.8Form39.6
73.6Power44.9
2.51xG0.43
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