GGOALVIO

China · League Two · 8/1/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guizhou Zhucheng · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Guizhou Zhucheng are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Shenzhen 2028 are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Guizhou Zhucheng hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 60.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the League Two, while Guizhou Zhucheng holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guizhou Zhucheng

Probability

44.7%

Model confidence

14.2%

Guizhou Zhucheng has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guizhou ZhuchengWWLLD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Shenzhen 2028WWDDW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Guizhou ZhuchengShenzhen 2028
53.3Attack60.0
71.7Defence61.7
66.7Form60.0
63.9Power60.5
1.33xG0.92
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