Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guingamp · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Guingamp are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Lorient are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Guingamp hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (69.7 v 62.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Guingamp holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Guingamp
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Guingamp has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00