GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 7/26/2026, 9:05:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santa Fe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Águilas Doradas are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Santa Fe are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Fe hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the Primera A, while Santa Fe holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santa Fe

Probability

40.2%

Model confidence

40.2%

Santa Fe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Águilas DoradasDDWDW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Santa FeWWDWD

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Águilas DoradasSanta Fe
38.1Attack51.3
57.1Defence64.1
50.8Form50.0
51.6Power55.9
0.87xG1.21
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