Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Águila · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Águila are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Izalco are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Águila hold a 56.3-point power-rating edge (91.8 v 35.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.8% in the Copa Presidente, while Águila holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Águila
Probability
75.0%
Model confidence
9.8%
Águila has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/2.25