GGOALVIO

El-Salvador · Primera Division · 8/15/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Águila · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Águila are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Atletico Balboa are 0W-3D-1L in their last 4 (DDLD), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Águila hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 39.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the Primera Division, while Águila holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Águila

Probability

40.5%

Model confidence

14.6%

Águila has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ÁguilaLDDDL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atletico BalboaDDLD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.75/1.25

BTTS 2/4O2.5 1/4
ÁguilaAtletico Balboa
33.3Attack25.0
58.3Defence58.3
25.0Form25.0
42.1Power39.1
1.17xG0.91
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