GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/25/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Águia de Marabá · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Águia de Marabá are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tuna Luso are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Águia de Marabá hold a 14.1-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 44.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.4% in the Serie D, while Águia de Marabá holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Águia de Marabá

Probability

62.4%

Model confidence

62.4%

Águia de Marabá has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Águia de MarabáDDDLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Tuna LusoWDDDW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Águia de MarabáTuna Luso
59.5Attack44.4
59.5Defence44.4
57.1Form38.9
58.9Power44.8
2.21xG0.94
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