GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/30/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Águia de Marabá · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Águia de Marabá are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Tocantinópolis are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Águia de Marabá hold a 12.9-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.0% in the Serie D, while Águia de Marabá holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Águia de Marabá

Probability

58.0%

Model confidence

58.0%

Águia de Marabá has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Águia de MarabáWLWWW

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
TocantinópolisLWWDD

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Águia de MarabáTocantinópolis
59.5Attack60.0
59.5Defence40.0
57.1Form40.0
58.9Power45.9
2.38xG1.28
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