GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/10/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Águia de Marabá · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Águia de Marabá are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Oratório are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Águia de Marabá hold a 37.2-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 21.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.5% in the Serie D, while Águia de Marabá holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Águia de Marabá

Probability

78.5%

Model confidence

78.5%

Águia de Marabá has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Águia de MarabáWWDDD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
OratórioLLWLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Águia de MarabáOratório
59.5Attack40.0
59.5Defence3.3
57.1Form13.3
58.9Power21.7
3.09xG0.80
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