GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Do Brasil · 2/25/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Águia de Marabá · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Águia de Marabá are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Independência are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Águia de Marabá hold a 42.0-point power-rating edge (57.3 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the Copa Do Brasil, while Águia de Marabá holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Águia de Marabá

Probability

42.7%

Model confidence

42.7%

Águia de Marabá has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Águia de MarabáDWDLL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
IndependênciaLLWLL

GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Águia de MarabáIndependência
33.3Attack0.0
66.7Defence33.3
66.7Form0.0
57.3Power15.3
1.38xG0.84
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