GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 7/19/2026, 9:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Guayaquil City FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Manta FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Guayaquil City FC hold an 11.7-point power-rating edge (47.1 v 35.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 30.3% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

30.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guayaquil City FCDWLLD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Manta FCLDLWL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Guayaquil City FCManta FC
27.8Attack15.3
65.3Defence58.3
40.3Form23.6
47.1Power35.4
0.77xG0.46
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