GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 4/12/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Guayaquil City FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Macara are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Macara hold a 9.9-point power-rating edge (47.1 v 57.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.0%

Model confidence

44.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guayaquil City FCLDWDL

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
MacaraDLDWD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Guayaquil City FCMacara
27.8Attack44.4
65.3Defence66.7
40.3Form56.9
47.1Power57.0
0.57xG0.87
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