Guayaquil City FCvs
Libertad
SCHEDULEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 8/15/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Guayaquil City FC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Libertad are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 47.1 against 49.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 26.1% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
26.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20