Guayaquil City FCvs
Leones del Norte
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 3/23/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Guayaquil City FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Leones del Norte are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Leones del Norte hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (47.1 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.4% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40