GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 5/31/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente del Valle · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Guayaquil City FC are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Independiente del Valle are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente del Valle hold a 31.2-point power-rating edge (47.1 v 78.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.6% in the Liga Pro, while Independiente del Valle holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente del Valle

Probability

62.1%

Model confidence

18.6%

Independiente del Valle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guayaquil City FCDLLLL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Independiente del ValleWLWWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Guayaquil City FCIndependiente del Valle
27.8Attack81.3
65.3Defence68.0
40.3Form85.3
47.1Power78.3
0.52xG1.57
View match centre →