Guayaquil City FCvs
Aucas
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 2/28/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Guayaquil City FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Aucas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Aucas hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (47.1 v 56.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80