Guastatoyavs
Municipal
COMPLETEDGuatemala · Liga Nacional · 8/15/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Municipal · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Guastatoya are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Municipal are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Municipal hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 62.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.7% in the Liga Nacional, while Municipal holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Municipal
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
15.7%
Municipal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60