GGOALVIO

Guatemala · Liga Nacional · 8/15/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Municipal · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Guastatoya are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Municipal are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Municipal hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 62.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.7% in the Liga Nacional, while Municipal holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Municipal

Probability

45.6%

Model confidence

15.7%

Municipal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GuastatoyaLLLWL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
MunicipalWWDWW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
GuastatoyaMunicipal
43.0Attack56.7
62.3Defence71.7
43.9Form60.0
50.3Power62.6
0.75xG1.21
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