Guardavs
Alpendorada
SCHEDULEDPortugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B · 8/16/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Guarda are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Alpendorada are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Alpendorada hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 51.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 26.8% in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
26.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00