GGOALVIO

Portugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B · 8/16/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Guarda are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Alpendorada are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Alpendorada hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 51.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 26.8% in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

26.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GuardaDLLLL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
AlpendoradaLWLWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
GuardaAlpendorada
33.3Attack33.3
61.5Defence69.2
41.0Form46.2
46.8Power51.2
0.65xG0.71
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