Guarany de BagévsSão Luiz

Guarany de Bagé are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while São Luiz are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and São Luiz hold a 26.6-point power-rating edge (24.3 v 50.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.6% in the Serie D, while São Luiz holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.