Guarany de BagévsSanta Catarina

Guarany de Bagé are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Santa Catarina are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Catarina hold a 35.8-point power-rating edge (24.3 v 60.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.8% in the Serie D, while Santa Catarina holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.