Guarani MGvs
Caldense
COMPLETEDBrazil · Mineiro - 2 · 6/27/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guarani MG · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Guarani MG are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Caldense are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Guarani MG hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 34.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.7% in the Mineiro - 2, while Guarani MG holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Guarani MG
Probability
48.7%
Model confidence
48.7%
Guarani MG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40