Guarani Campinasvs
Ypiranga-RS
SCHEDULEDBrazil · Serie C · 8/17/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Guarani Campinas are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ypiranga-RS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ypiranga-RS hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (50.5 v 52.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.3% in the Serie C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.2%
Model confidence
17.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80