Guarani Campinasvs
Ituano
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie C · 5/17/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guarani Campinas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Guarani Campinas are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Ituano are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Guarani Campinas hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 50.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.7% in the Serie C, while Guarani Campinas holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Guarani Campinas
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
49.7%
Guarani Campinas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40