Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guaporé · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Guaporé are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Galvez are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Guaporé hold a 34.4-point power-rating edge (63.2 v 28.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.6% in the Serie D, while Guaporé holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Guaporé
Probability
76.6%
Model confidence
76.6%
Guaporé has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00