Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Araguaína · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Guaporé are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Araguaína are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 63.2 against 64.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.0% in the Serie D, while Araguaína holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Araguaína
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Araguaína has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60