GGOALVIO

China · League One · 8/9/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Guangzhou E-Power are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Guangxi Hengchen are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and guangzhou E-Power hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (70.3 v 59.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the League One, favouring a draw with 12.8% confidence, a 50% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

26.8%

Model confidence

12.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guangzhou E-PowerDWWWD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Guangxi HengchenWDWWW

GF 16 · GA 8 · avg 3.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Guangzhou E-PowerGuangxi Hengchen
61.1Attack58.8
70.4Defence58.8
74.1Form56.9
70.3Power59.4
1.67xG0.92
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