GGOALVIO

China · League Two · 4/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jiangxi Liansheng · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Guangzhou Dandelion are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Jiangxi Liansheng are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Jiangxi Liansheng hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (43.0 v 56.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the League Two, while Jiangxi Liansheng holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jiangxi Liansheng

Probability

42.1%

Model confidence

42.1%

Jiangxi Liansheng has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guangzhou DandelionWLWLL

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Jiangxi LianshengDDDWL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Guangzhou DandelionJiangxi Liansheng
31.7Attack40.0
55.0Defence71.7
35.0Form53.3
43.0Power56.8
0.55xG1.03
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