GGOALVIO

China · League One · 7/18/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guangxi Hengchen · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Guangxi Hengchen are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Shaanxi Union are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Guangxi Hengchen hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (59.4 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.0% in the League One, while Guangxi Hengchen holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guangxi Hengchen

Probability

35.0%

Model confidence

35.0%

Guangxi Hengchen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guangxi HengchenWWLDD

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Shaanxi UnionWWLDW

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Guangxi HengchenShaanxi Union
58.8Attack50.0
58.8Defence68.5
56.9Form48.1
59.4Power54.9
1.21xG1.11
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