GGOALVIO

China · League One · 8/15/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guangxi Hengchen · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Guangxi Hengchen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Meizhou Kejia are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Guangxi Hengchen hold a 20.3-point power-rating edge (59.4 v 39.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.7% in the League One, while Guangxi Hengchen holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guangxi Hengchen

Probability

74.0%

Model confidence

12.7%

Guangxi Hengchen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guangxi HengchenLWDWW

GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Meizhou KejiaWLLWL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Guangxi HengchenMeizhou Kejia
58.8Attack35.2
58.8Defence37.0
56.9Form37.0
59.4Power39.1
2.51xG0.75
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