Guangxi Hengchenvs
Heilongjiang Lava Spring
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 7/26/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guangxi Hengchen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Guangxi Hengchen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Heilongjiang Lava Spring are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Guangxi Hengchen hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (59.4 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.3% in the League One, while Guangxi Hengchen holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Guangxi Hengchen
Probability
64.3%
Model confidence
64.3%
Guangxi Hengchen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60