GGOALVIO

China · League One · 7/26/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guangxi Hengchen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Guangxi Hengchen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Heilongjiang Lava Spring are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Guangxi Hengchen hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (59.4 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.3% in the League One, while Guangxi Hengchen holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guangxi Hengchen

Probability

64.3%

Model confidence

64.3%

Guangxi Hengchen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guangxi HengchenWWWLD

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Heilongjiang Lava SpringLDLDL

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Guangxi HengchenHeilongjiang Lava Spring
58.8Attack51.9
58.8Defence35.2
56.9Form38.9
59.4Power44.6
2.56xG1.12
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