GGOALVIO

China · League One · 4/4/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guangzhou E-Power · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Guangxi Hengchen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Guangzhou E-Power are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Guangzhou E-Power hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (59.4 v 70.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the League One, while Guangzhou E-Power holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guangzhou E-Power

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

41.3%

Guangzhou E-Power has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guangxi HengchenWLLWD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Guangzhou E-PowerWWWWD

GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Guangxi HengchenGuangzhou E-Power
58.8Attack61.1
58.8Defence70.4
56.9Form74.1
59.4Power70.3
1.08xG1.42
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