GGOALVIO

China · League One · 5/30/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guangxi Hengchen · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Guangxi Hengchen are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Dongguan United are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Guangxi Hengchen hold a 26.9-point power-rating edge (59.4 v 32.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.6% in the League One, while Guangxi Hengchen holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guangxi Hengchen

Probability

76.3%

Model confidence

12.6%

Guangxi Hengchen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guangxi HengchenDWDWW

GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Dongguan UnitedDLDDW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Guangxi HengchenDongguan United
58.8Attack35.2
58.8Defence35.2
56.9Form20.4
59.4Power32.6
2.65xG0.73
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