GGOALVIO

China · League One · 7/5/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guangxi Hengchen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Guangxi Hengchen are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Dalian Huayi are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Guangxi Hengchen hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (59.4 v 43.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.5% in the League One, while Guangxi Hengchen holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guangxi Hengchen

Probability

61.5%

Model confidence

61.5%

Guangxi Hengchen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guangxi HengchenWLDDD

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Dalian HuayiWLDLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Guangxi HengchenDalian Huayi
58.8Attack42.6
58.8Defence46.3
56.9Form33.3
59.4Power43.3
2.13xG0.91
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