GGOALVIO

China · League Two · 8/9/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Guangdong Mingtu are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Yichun Grand Tiger are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and guangdong Mingtu hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (48.4 v 40.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the League Two, favouring a draw with 31.9% confidence, a 19% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.4%

Model confidence

31.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guangdong MingtuDWDDW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Yichun Grand TigerLDDLD

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Guangdong MingtuYichun Grand Tiger
31.7Attack20.0
68.3Defence63.3
38.3Form30.0
48.4Power40.5
0.76xG0.41
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