GGOALVIO

China · League Two · 7/11/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shenzhen 2028 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Guangdong Mingtu are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Shenzhen 2028 are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Shenzhen 2028 hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (48.4 v 60.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the League Two, while Shenzhen 2028 holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shenzhen 2028

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

Shenzhen 2028 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guangdong MingtuWLDWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Shenzhen 2028DWWDW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Guangdong MingtuShenzhen 2028
31.7Attack60.0
68.3Defence61.7
38.3Form60.0
48.4Power60.5
0.75xG1.08
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