GGOALVIO

China · League Two · 3/21/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Guangdong Mingtu are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Shangyu Pterosaur are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Guangdong Mingtu hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (48.4 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the League Two, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.1%

Model confidence

45.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guangdong MingtuLWLLL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Shangyu PterosaurLLWWD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Guangdong MingtuShangyu Pterosaur
31.7Attack30.0
68.3Defence58.3
38.3Form43.3
48.4Power45.8
0.85xG0.52
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