GGOALVIO

Bolivia · Primera División · 4/21/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aurora · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Gualberto Villarroel SJ are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Aurora are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Aurora hold a 15.7-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the Primera División, while Aurora holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aurora

Probability

49.0%

Model confidence

49.0%

Aurora has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gualberto Villarroel SJLLLWD

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
AuroraDDLDW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Gualberto Villarroel SJAurora
33.3Attack54.8
50.0Defence54.8
28.6Form52.4
40.2Power55.9
0.93xG1.59
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