GGOALVIO

Paraguay · Division Intermedia · 8/15/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente F.b.c. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Guairena FC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Independiente F.b.c. are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente F.b.c. hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (47.6 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.9% in the Division Intermedia, while Independiente F.b.c. holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente F.b.c.

Probability

34.4%

Model confidence

14.9%

Independiente F.b.c. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guairena FCLDDLL

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Independiente F.b.c.DDDLD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
Guairena FCIndependiente F.b.c.
33.3Attack48.1
61.1Defence53.7
42.6Form42.6
47.6Power50.1
0.98xG1.03
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