Guadalajara ChivasvsToluca

Guadalajara Chivas are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Toluca are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca hold a 19.7-point power-rating edge (47.5 v 67.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the Liga MX, while Toluca holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.