GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX · 7/25/2026, 11:07:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guadalajara Chivas · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Guadalajara Chivas are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FC Juarez are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Guadalajara Chivas hold a 32.0-point power-rating edge (47.5 v 15.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.4% in the Liga MX, while Guadalajara Chivas holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guadalajara Chivas

Probability

52.4%

Model confidence

52.4%

Guadalajara Chivas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guadalajara ChivasLDLDW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC JuarezLDWDW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Guadalajara ChivasFC Juarez
22.2Attack11.1
66.7Defence22.2
44.4Form0.0
47.5Power15.5
1.73xG0.93
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