GGOALVIO

World · Leagues Cup · 8/9/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Guadalajara Chivas are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FC Dallas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and fC Dallas hold a 50.0-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Leagues Cup, favouring a draw with 13.5% confidence, a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

28.3%

Model confidence

13.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guadalajara ChivasDDWLL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
FC DallasWDLDW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Guadalajara ChivasFC Dallas
16.7Attack50.0
66.7Defence100.0
16.7Form100.0
36.5Power86.5
1.17xG1.49
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