GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX U21 · 7/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Toluca U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Guadalajara Chivas U21 are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Toluca U21 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca U21 hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 66.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the Liga MX U21, while Toluca U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Toluca U21

Probability

36.8%

Model confidence

36.8%

Toluca U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guadalajara Chivas U21DWDDW

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Toluca U21LWWLD

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Guadalajara Chivas U21Toluca U21
33.3Attack50.0
66.7Defence75.0
33.3Form66.7
48.3Power66.3
0.93xG1.14
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