GGOALVIO

Bolivia · Primera División · 4/11/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente Petrolero · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Guabirá are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Independiente Petrolero are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Petrolero hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 52.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the Primera División, while Independiente Petrolero holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente Petrolero

Probability

36.6%

Model confidence

36.6%

Independiente Petrolero has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GuabiráLDLWW

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Independiente PetroleroLLLLD

GF 1 · GA 11 · avg 0.20/2.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
GuabiráIndependiente Petrolero
54.8Attack48.9
38.1Defence53.3
50.0Form48.9
48.3Power52.1
1.65xG1.69
View match centre →