Água SantavsMadureira

Água Santa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Madureira are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Água Santa hold a 15.8-point power-rating edge (58.3 v 42.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.5% in the Serie D, while Água Santa holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.