Água SantavsAmérica RJ

Água Santa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while América RJ are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Água Santa hold a 21.2-point power-rating edge (58.3 v 37.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.0% in the Serie D, while Água Santa holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.