Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grotta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Grotta are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Grindavik are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Grotta hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 44.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.0% in the 1. Deild, while Grotta holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Grotta
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
53.0%
Grotta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60