Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grotta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Grotta are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Ægir are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Grotta hold a 27.4-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 24.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.2% in the 1. Deild, while Grotta holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Grotta
Probability
80.4%
Model confidence
9.2%
Grotta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 7 · GA 19 · avg 1.40/3.80