Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fylkir · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Grotta are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Fylkir are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Fylkir hold an 8.1-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 59.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the 1. Deild, while Fylkir holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fylkir
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Fylkir has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60