GGOALVIO

Iceland · 1. Deild · 5/18/2026, 7:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Afturelding · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3

Lowconfidence

Grotta are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Afturelding are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Afturelding hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.8% in the 1. Deild, while Afturelding holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 87% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Afturelding

Probability

53.3%

Model confidence

6.8%

Afturelding has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GrottaWLLWW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AftureldingWDLLD

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
GrottaAfturelding
66.7Attack100.0
35.3Defence43.1
51.0Form68.6
51.6Power68.0
2.39xG3.36
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